The Russia-Ukraine War-Part Three (July 2022)

 The Russia-Ukraine War-Part Three

Wars are won when you have the following:

1. Popular support from the occupants of the territory.

2. Willingness and capability of sending infantry and all armored vehicles to occupy and fight in these territories.

Russia seemingly has both. Certainly the Western nations' weapons, such as the HIMARS,Howitzers(missile defense systems), and drones have helped Ukraine. However, these beneficial effects are only short-term as the inevitable outcome will only be postponed. Russia will continue to use its significant artillery advantage(10-1 to 20-1 in the Eastern Ukraine's Donbas, 6-1 in Southern Ukraine's Kherson Oblast) to "soften the ground" and flatten territory before they send their armored vehicles and ground forces in to occupy the territory.

At the end of August, expect Russia to occupy all the Donbas, Kherson, and most of Zaporizhia. If Ukraine foolishly prolongs the war into the winter, expect Russia by the beginning of next spring to occupy most if not all the oblasts of Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, and Odessa. The longer the war goes on, the more the demands of Russia will be increased.

Russia is open to a truce with Ukraine. It is the responsibility of Ukraine to seize the chance to obtain peace. Otherwise, as Russia incurs more losses, it will be less less likely to cede any territory in continues to capture.