Russia-Ukraine War-The Calm Before The Storm (January 2023)

Russia-Ukraine War-The Calm Before The Storm (January 2023)

Any real war starts when ground troops are sent in to take and to keep territory. That requires so much political and grassroots political will. It is easy for a nation's people to support a war when they are launching missiles and bombs miles away from the target. When ground forces have to be deployed to directly confront the enemy, heavy losses are to be expected. That is usually when the appetite for war changes.

Ukraine has recaptured 40% of the territory once held by Russia. Most of that territory was abandoned by Russia. Russia has softened the ground for nearly 10.5 months. The total loss of troops(casualties and fatalities) for Russia is probably the same as Ukraine at this juncture.

However, Russia has not used its best military while Ukraine has. The burn to replenishment ratio for Ukraine is much higher than it is for Russia. Ukraine is now losing as much equipment as Russia is. That is indeed a troubling statistic as an invading military is always supposed to lose 3-4 times more equipment than the military of the occupied nation to successfully occupy the invaded nation on a short-term basis. If the invading military,particularly the army, loses more than this ratio, they will be repelled soon. If that same military loses less than this ratio, they will have successfully defeated and perhaps even conquered that occupied nation.