Saturday, July 29, 2023

Russia-Ukraine War-The Calm Before The Storm

 Russia-Ukraine War-The Calm Before The Storm

Any real war starts when ground troops are sent in to take and to keep territory. That requires so much political and grassroots political will. It is easy for a nation's people to support a war when they are launching missiles and bombs miles away from the target. When ground forces have to be deployed to directly confront the enemy, heavy losses are to be expected. That is usually when the appetite for war changes.
Ukraine has recaptured 40% of the territory once held by Russia. Most of that territory was abandoned by Russia. Russia has softened the ground for nearly 10.5 months. The total loss of troops(casualties and fatalities) for Russia is probably the same as Ukraine at this juncture.
However, Russia has not used its best military while Ukraine has. The burn to replenishment ratio for Ukraine is much higher than it is for Russia. Ukraine is now losing as much equipment as Russia is. That is indeed a troubling statistic as an invading military is always supposed to lose 3-4 times more equipment than the military of the occupied nation to successfully occupy the invaded nation on a short-term basis. If the invading military,particularly the army, loses more than this ratio, they will be repelled soon. If that same military loses less than this ratio, they will have successfully defeated and perhaps even conquered that occupied nation.

Russia-Ukraine War-The Calm Before The Storm Part Two

When the ground hardens in Ukraine, which should either be in two to four weeks, a significant number of reserve ground forces will be deployed to greatly escalate this military conflict. Russia has 700,000 crack, highly-trained troops with the most potent equipment at its disposal. Russia will launch this three-pronged attack soon from the northern, western, and southern fronts.
General Valerii Zaluzhnyi is the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine states Ukraine can halt the Russians and even take back much of its lost territory if the Ukraine military and even the Azov Battalion receive 300 tanks, 500 armored vehicles, 500 artillery systems, and unlimited ammunition. Zaluzhnyi additionally cited that if they are are not provided this, Russia will eventually defeat Ukraine.
NATO and Western Powers pledges have not even come close to providing this requested total. Starting either in late January or early February, this war will be kicked up to a much higher notch. The next 3-5 months after this lull will be as horrific as anything that happened during World War 2.

Russia-Ukraine War-The Calm Before The Storm Part Three
President Vladimir Putin and Russia are obviously planning something major in the next few months.
1. Many police officers are being taken out of city and are being trained to use machine guns and grenades. They are now being taught to march in a military.
2. Moscow and other cities are establishing bomb centers.
3. The Kremlin and Russian parliament are practicing emergency evacuation drills.
The Western Press has erroneously stated that Russia haphazardly started this war. The truth is NATO nations, Ukraine, and Russia have been meticulously planning this war since 2014. Military conflict has been happening between Ukraine and the Donbas separatists since that year. Russia, as everyone had predicted, entered that war 10.5 months ago.
This war will reach its climax within the next six months.

Russia-Ukraine War-The Calm Before The Storm Part Four
America will dole out $110 billion in military equipment and other assistance to Ukraine since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began less than 10.5 months ago.
Russia spends $65 billion on their military annually. No one is getting wealthy in Russia due to this war. Moreover, Russia is not even close from exhausting any military equipment and supplies.
The corporate Western Press, since this Russia-Ukraine War began, kept reporting that Russia lacked the economic strength to wage a war for more than several months. It stated that the Russian military was too incompetent and its leadership, along with V. Putin, was too corrupt for its military actions to last. It also stated there was too much dissension and desertion for Russia to execute its military plans for the long term.
10.5 months later, here Russia and NATO-backed Ukraine are. Russia is mobilizing T-90 and the upgraded T-72 tanks. They are about introduce state of the art weapons that are "user-friendly", unlike the Patriot Missile System that Ukraine will be receiving soon from the USA.
When it comes to the military production, application and deployment, Socialism trumps Power Broker Elitism every time. Russia does not have high military profits funneled into political campaign funds. We Americans need to learn from this.

Russia-Ukraine War-The Calm Before The Storm Part Five
As the war drags on and Ukraine will not settle for anything less than a Russia withdrawal from all its former territory, including Crimea. Moreover, Ukraine will not even assure Russia that they will not join NATO or they will not eventually get rid of foreign military presence after their war with Russia has ended. Due to the preceding, Russia has according to reliable sources announced this three step final plan.
1. Destroy the Ukraine military completely east of Dnieper River and then immobilize the rest of Ukraine's military.
2. Seal the Polish/Ukraine border to make certain no weapons enter into Ukraine.
3. Remove the Volodmyr Zelensky administration and any and all Ukrainian nationalist elements, which have strong sentiments against Russian ethnic groups, from the entire government apparatus.
This will be Russia's end game and it will be achieved within six months' time.
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